Forecasting Software Risks in Critical Infrastructure by 2040
- derekdodds
- May 12
- 1 min read
I was fortunate to catch Dr Charles Weir’s presentation at NCSS2025 in April. A collaborative study by Lancaster University and the University of Manchester has delved into the evolving landscape of software risks impacting the UK's Critical National Infrastructure (CNI) up to the year 2040. Through a Delphi study and workshops with 22 experts, the research identifies emerging trends and associated risks, offering strategic recommendations for mitigation.
Key Trends Identified:
Proliferation of Internet of Things (IoT) devices and digital control systems
Enhanced inter connectivity and decentralization of services
Primary Risks Highlighted:
Inadequate incident response mechanisms
Design flaws leading to human errors
Expanded vulnerability due to shared supply chains and homogeneous technologies
Strategic Recommendations:
Integrate human- and system-centered resilience approaches alongside existing cybersecurity measures
Invest in research focusing on sociotechnical cyber resilience best practices
As we navigate an increasingly interconnected digital landscape, it's imperative to proactively address these challenges to safeguard our critical infrastructure.
Read the full report here: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13898513
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